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A suite of 9s resolution climate surfaces for the Australian continent, with adjustment for the radiative effects of terrain. This collection represents a 30 year average centred on 2050 for the CAN E... more SM2 circulation model under RCP 8.5. Projected future climates were generated by applying within-model changes (e.g. CAN ESM2 2036-2065 –CAN ESM2 (1976-2005) calculated at the native general circulation model grid resolution to these current surfaces, using ANUCLIM 6.1 prior to radiative adjustment. Precipitation, temperature, evaporation and water balance data are presented as annual means or totals and maximum and minimum monthly values.
Data are provided as zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file 9sClimateMethodsSummary.pdf for further information, including a nomenclature for files.
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DEE: Enhancing landscape data and analytic capability through knowledge transfer of GDM technology - Australian 9s environmental surfaces - Published 07 Nov 2019
A suite of 9s resolution climate surfaces for the Australian continent, with adjustment for the radiative effects of terrain. This collection represents a 30 year average centred on 2050 for the MIROC... more 5 circulation model under RCP 8.5. Projected future climates were generated by applying within-model changes (e.g. MIROC 5 2036-2065 MIROC 5 (1976-2005) calculated at the native general circulation model grid resolution to these current surfaces, using ANUCLIM 6.1 prior to radiative adjustment. Precipitation, temperature, evaporation and water balance data are presented as annual means or totals and maximum and minimum monthly values.
Data are provided as zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file 9sClimateMethodsSummary.pdf for further information, including a nomenclature for files.
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DEE: Enhancing landscape data and analytic capability through knowledge transfer of GDM technology - Australian 9s environmental surfaces - Published 07 Nov 2019
A suite of 9s resolution climate surfaces for the Australian continent, with adjustment for the radiative effects of terrain. This collection represents a 30 year average centred on 2050 for the MIROC... more 5 circulation model under RCP 4.5. Projected future climates were generated by applying within-model changes (e.g. MIROC 5 2036-2065 MIROC 5 (1976-2005) calculated at the native general circulation model grid resolution to these current surfaces, using ANUCLIM 6.1 prior to radiative adjustment. Precipitation, temperature, evaporation and water balance data are presented as annual means or totals and maximum and minimum monthly values.
Data are provided as zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file 9sClimateMethodsSummary.pdf for further information, including a nomenclature for files.
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DEE: Enhancing landscape data and analytic capability through knowledge transfer of GDM technology - Australian 9s environmental surfaces - Published 07 Nov 2019
A suite of 9s resolution climate surfaces for the Australian continent, with adjustment for the radiative effects of terrain. This collection represents a 30 year average centred on 2050 for the CAN E... more SM2 circulation model under RCP 4.5. Projected future climates were generated by applying within-model changes (e.g. CAN ESM2 2036-2065 –CAN ESM2 (1976-2005) calculated at the native general circulation model grid resolution to these current surfaces, using ANUCLIM 6.1 prior to radiative adjustment. Precipitation, temperature, evaporation and water balance data are presented as annual means or totals and maximum and minimum monthly values.
Data are provided as zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file 9sClimateMethodsSummary.pdf for further information, including a nomenclature for files.
less
DEE: Enhancing landscape data and analytic capability through knowledge transfer of GDM technology - Australian 9s environmental surfaces - Published 07 Nov 2019
A suite of 9s resolution climate surfaces for the Australian continent, with adjustment for the radiative effects of terrain. This collection represents a 30 year average centred on 1990. Precipitatio... more n, temperature, evaporation and water balance data are presented as annual means or totals and maximum and minimum monthly values.
Data are provided as zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file 9sClimateMethodsSummary.pdf for further information, including a nomenclature for files.
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DEE: Enhancing landscape data and analytic capability through knowledge transfer of GDM technology - Australian 9s environmental surfaces - Published 07 Nov 2019
A selection of 9sec gridded National climate change variables for biodiversity modelling. This collection represents 30-year averages centred on each of 1990, 2050, 2070, 2090. Projected future climat... more es were generated by applying within-model changes for two circulation model outputs: GFDL and ACCESS1.0; and for two representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5, 8.5), calculated at the native general circulation model grid resolution to these current surfaces, using ANUCLIM 6.1 prior to radiative adjustment. That the maximum temperature variables have been adjusted for topographic slope/aspect and shading effects. A short methods summary is provided in the file 9sClimateMethodsSummary.pdf for further information, including a nomenclature for files. The selected climate variables provided in this collection are:
TNM - mean annual minimum temperature
TXM - mean annual maximum temperature
TXX - mean maximum monthly maximum temperature
TXI - mean minimum monthly maximum temperature
TNI - mean minimum monthly minimum temperature
TNX - mean maximum monthly minimum temperature
PTA - Average total annual rainfall
PTX - mean maximum monthly rainfall
PTI - mean minimum monthly rainfall
Other variables (evaporation and water balance, temperature range, and seasonality, etc) are available upon application. The data are provided in ESRI binary float grid format (*.hdr, *.flt), Projection is geographic GDA94. less
1173.3 WPC Global Protected Area Assessm - climate change scenarios - Published 12 Sep 2018
Representation within the National Reserve System 2015 for Vascular Plants as a function of current climate and climate change based on Generalised Dissimilarity Modelling (GDM) of compositional turno... more ver.
This metric represents a measure of the support provided for the ecological environments of each grid cell by the NRS. A full description of the project can be found in the report "Assessing the ecological representativeness of Australia’s terrestrial National Reserve System: A community-level modelling approach" by KJ Williams, TD Harwood & S Ferrier (2016) at https://publications.csiro.au/rpr/pub?pid=csiro:EP163634
Four subfolders are provided:
1. P maps: 9s resolution mapping of cellwise P metric for representation of the environment of each cell within the NRS based on a GDM model of Vascular Plants.
2. IBRA maps: 9s resolution mapping of summary statistics (17: proportion 17% represented and Geometric Mean: P metric summarised by region) with single value applied to all cells within each IBRA bioregion.
3. IBRASUB maps: 9s resolution mapping of summary statistics (17: proportion 17% represented and Geometric Mean: P metric summarised by region) with single value applied to all cells within each IBRA subregion. Format ESRI float grids
4. Summary statistics: Regional statistics and histograms of distribution of values within IBRA bioregions and IBRA subregions. Format: Microsoft Excel spreadsheets. Files contain a row for each numbered region. Statistics files show the Geometric and Arithmetic Mean, the proportion of each region achieving target representation and the Maximum and Minimum cellwise representation within each region.
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Assessing present and future representation of terrestrial biodiversity within Australia's National Reserve System - GDM-based assessment of National Reserve System Representativeness - Published 14 Jun 2017
This collection contains AdaptNRM biodiversity change datasets and maps contextualised for Tasmania and surrounding Islands, and specifically: novel ecological environments, disappearing ecological en... more vironments, and composite ecological change datasets and maps for amphibians, reptiles, mammals, and vascular plants. The Tasmania extent of the equivalent ‘Potential degree of ecological change’ datasets are also included for completeness, although identical to the national datasets. Ecological change is derived from change in long term (30 year average) climates between the present (1990 centred) and projected future (2050 centred) under the MIROC5 and CanESM2 global climate models (RCP 8.5), scaled using Generalised Dissimilarity Modelling (GDM) of compositional turnover for four biological groups (GDMs: AMP_r2_PTS1, MAM_r2, REP_r3_v2, and VAS_v5_r11). The source GDM models are listed in related materials below (AMP_V2_R2 is the same as the model also denoted ‘AMP_r2_PTS1’; REP_V2_R3 is the same as REP_r3_v2; MAM_V1_R2 is the same as MAM_r2). The equivalent national datasets for novel and disappearing ecological environments, composite ecological change and Potential degree of ecological change are also listed in related materials below.
NOVEL ECOLOGICAL ENVIRONMENTS: this metric describes the nature of the projected 2050-centred future environmental conditions for each 9s grid cell. Using each cell of a GDM projection surface, the metric looks out to all other cells in the specified region, and records the ecological similarity of the future state of the cell to the most similar cell in the present (1990-centred). A novel ecological environment is a possible new ecological environment scaled by ecological similarity that may arise in the future but which doesn’t exist anywhere at present.
DISAPPEARING ECOLOGICAL ENVIRONMENTS: this metric describes the extent to which the long term average environmental conditions for each 9s grid cell in the present (1990-centred) will be present in a projected 2050 centred future. For each cell of a GDM, the metric looks out to all other cells in a specified region, and records the ecological similarity of the present state of the cell to the most similar cell in the future. A disappearing ecological environment is a present-day ecological environment scaled by ecological similarity that may become absent in the future.
COMPOSITE ECOLOGICAL CHANGE: this metric is a composite measure that integrates the Potential degree of ecological change with the degree to which ecological environments are becoming novel or disappearing, showing where different combinations of change may occur and how extreme that change may be.
A technical report for the project provides details about the rationale, methods and data. Further details are described in the AdaptNRM Guide “Implications of Climate Change for Biodiversity: a community-level modelling approach”, available online at: www.adaptnrm.org.
Data are provided in two forms: 1. Zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). 2. GeoTIFF files (*.tif). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages. Component measures are provided in both ESRI float and GeoTiff formats, while composite rasters are provided in GeoTiff format.
Datasets in this series use a consistent naming convention: see the file readme_filenames.txt for a full explanation.
Readme and xml files for how to reproduce the 3-band colours in the composite measure are also provided.
Higher resolution images used in the technical report are also provided. less
Customised AdaptNRM biodiversity impact datasets for Tasmania - Ecological Change Modelling - Published 26 Apr 2017
Updated to include UNCON079
This collection contains 9-second gridded datasets (ESRI binary float format in GDA94) showing the projected future (2050-centred) potential vegetation redistribution of 77... more Major Vegetation Sub-groups (MVS classes) for continental Australia based on their pre-clearing distribution patterns and correlation with baseline ecological environments (c.1990 climates, substrate and landform). The pre-clearing vegetation patterns and classification derive from version 4.1 of “Australia - Estimated Pre1750 Major Vegetation Groups - NVIS Version 4.1 (Albers 100m analysis product)” developed by the Australian Government Department of the Environment and collaborating State agencies. A kernel regression was used with c.155,000 locations of training classes for the 77 MVS classes attributed with 17 GDM-scaled environmental predictors for Vascular Plants representing baseline ecological environments. The training class data input to the kernel regression is provided with this package. The GDM-scaled environmental predictors are available with the “VAS_v5_r11” data package. Using the 1990 baseline training MVS class data, and without constraining the prediction to pre-existing map boundaries, the kernel regression projected to 2050 the distribution of the 77 Major Vegetation Sub-groups using 2050-centred (30 year average) future climates derived from the CanESM2 global climate model for the emission scenario defined by a representative concentration pathway of 8.5. The kernel regression generates unconstrained probabilities varying in the range from 0 and up to 1 for each of the 77 MVS classes.
The data are provided as 9-second (approximately 250m), ESRI binary float grid format in GDA94. Each class is denoted “UNCON###”, where the number refers to the code originally assigned to that MVS class by the supplier. A lookup table linking the MVS classes to the output codes and descriptive title is provided. Generalised representations of the vegetation classes derived from the individual class probabilities as the maximum probability in any grid cell are provided separately (see related information).
There are three dataset packages in this series: 1) 1990 predictions of MVS classes; 2) 2050 CanESM2 RCP 8.5 predictions of MVS classes; 3) 2050 MIROC5 RCP 8.5 predictions of MVS classes.
This dataset series and its use is described in the AdaptNRM Guide “Helping biodiversity adapt to climate change: a community-level modelling approach”, available online at: www.adaptnrm.orgless
NRM National Project - Macroecological Modelling - Published 01 Feb 2016
Updated to include missing UNCON079
This collection contains 9-second gridded datasets (ESRI binary float format in GDA94) showing the baseline (1990-centred) predicted potential distribution of 77 Ma... more jor Vegetation Sub-groups (MVS classes) for continental Australia based on their pre-clearing distribution patterns and correlation with baseline ecological environments (c.1990 climates, substrate and landform). The pre-clearing vegetation patterns and classification derive from version 4.1 of “Australia - Estimated Pre1750 Major Vegetation Groups - NVIS Version 4.1 (Albers 100m analysis product)” developed by the Australian Government Department of the Environment and collaborating State agencies. A kernel regression was used with c.155,000 locations of training classes for the 77 MVS classes attributed with 17 GDM-scaled environmental predictors for Vascular Plants representing baseline ecological environments. The training class data input to the kernel regression is provided with this package. The GDM-scaled environmental predictors are available with the “VAS_v5_r11” data package. Using the 1990 baseline training MVS class data, and without constraining the prediction to pre-existing map boundaries, the kernel regression predicted the potential distribution of the 77 Major Vegetation Sub-groups using 1990-centred (30 year average) baseline climates derived from ANUCLIM v6.1 (Xu and Hutchinson 2011). The kernel regression generates unconstrained probabilities varying in the range from 0 and up to 1 for each of the 77 MVS classes.
The data are provided as 9-second (approximately 250m), ESRI binary float grid format in GDA94. Each class is denoted “UNCON###”, where the number refers to the code originally assigned to that MVS class by the supplier. A lookup table linking the MVS classes to the output codes and descriptive title is provided. Generalised representations of the vegetation classes derived from the individual class probabilities as the maximum probability in any grid cell are provided separately (see related information).
There are three dataset packages in this series: 1) 1990 predictions of MVS classes; 2) 2050 CanESM2 RCP 8.5 predictions of MVS classes; 3) 2050 MIROC5 RCP 8.5 predictions of MVS classes.
This dataset series and its use is described in the AdaptNRM Guide “Helping biodiversity adapt to climate change: a community-level modelling approach”, available online at: www.adaptnrm.orgless
NRM National Project - Macroecological Modelling - Published 01 Feb 2016
***UPDATED***
This collection contains 9-second gridded datasets (ESRI binary float format in GDA94) showing the projected future (2050-centred) potential vegetation redistribution of 77 Major Vegetat... more ion Sub-groups (MVS classes) for continental Australia based on their pre-clearing distribution patterns and correlation with baseline ecological environments (c.1990 climates, substrate and landform). The pre-clearing vegetation patterns and classification derive from version 4.1 of “Australia - Estimated Pre1750 Major Vegetation Groups - NVIS Version 4.1 (Albers 100m analysis product)” developed by the Australian Government Department of the Environment and collaborating State agencies. A kernel regression was used with c.155,000 locations of training classes for the 77 MVS classes attributed with 17 GDM-scaled environmental predictors for Vascular Plants representing baseline ecological environments. The training class data input to the kernel regression is provided with this package. The GDM-scaled environmental predictors are available with the “VAS_v5_r11” data package. Using the 1990 baseline training MVS class data, and without constraining the prediction to pre-existing map boundaries, the kernel regression projected to 2050 the distribution of the 77 Major Vegetation Sub-groups using 2050-centred (30 year average) future climates derived from the MIROC5 global climate model for the emission scenario defined by a representative concentration pathway of 8.5. The kernel regression generates unconstrained probabilities varying in the range from 0 and up to 1 for each of the 77 MVS classes.
The data are provided as 9-second (approximately 250m), ESRI binary float grid format in GDA94. Each class is denoted “UNCON###”, where the number refers to the code originally assigned to that MVS class by the supplier. A lookup table linking the MVS classes to the output codes and descriptive title is provided. Generalised representations of the vegetation classes derived from the individual class probabilities as the maximum probability in any grid cell are provided separately (see related information).
There are three dataset packages in this series: 1) 1990 predictions of MVS classes; 2) 2050 CanESM2 RCP 8.5 predictions of MVS classes; 3) 2050 MIROC5 RCP 8.5 predictions of MVS classes.
This dataset series and its use is described in the AdaptNRM Guide “Helping biodiversity adapt to climate change: a community-level modelling approach”, available online at: www.adaptnrm.orgless
NRM National Project - Macroecological Modelling - Published 10 Aug 2015
****UPDATED****
This collection contains a 9-second gridded dataset (ESRI binary float format in GDA94) showing the generalised projected future (2050-centred) potential pre-clearing vegetation patter... more ns of 77 Major Vegetation Sub-groups (MVS classes) derived from the maximum of their respective predicted probabilities for each grid cell (V_85MIR50_MXC - MaxClass). Two additional datasets show the maximum probability in each gird cell that was used to assign that class (V_85MIR50_MXP - MaxProb), and the number of classes with non-zero probabilities with potential to represent their type in each grid cell (V_85MIR50_NMC - NumClasses). The predicted probabilities for each class were derived based on their distribution patterns and correlation with baseline ecological environments (c.1990 climates, substrate and landform). The pre-clearing vegetation patterns and classification derive from version 4.1 of “Australia - Estimated Pre1750 Major Vegetation Groups - NVIS Version 4.1 (Albers 100m analysis product)” developed by the Australian Government Department of the Environment and collaborating State agencies. A kernel regression was used with c.155,000 locations of training classes for the 77 MVS classes attributed with 17 GDM-scaled environmental predictors for Vascular Plants representing baseline ecological environments. These details are provided with the data package “Potential vegetation redistribution: Australia - 9second gridded projection to 2050, pre-clearing extents of 77 Major Vegetation Sub-groups using kernel regression with GDM-scaled environments for Vascular Plants (GDM: VAS_v5_r11; CMIP5: MIROC5 RCP 8.5)”. The GDM-scaled environmental predictors are available with the “VAS_v5_r11” data package. This dataset projects the generalised potential pre-clearing vegetation patterns based on 2050-centred (30 year average) future climates derived from the MIROC5 global climate model for the emission scenario defined by a representative concentration pathway of 8.5.
The accuracy of projections is limited by the quality of the vegetation mapping used to train the models and the accuracy of environmental variables delimiting substrate boundaries and disturbance regimes. Uncertainty or errors in the underlying vegetation map and environmental data will be reproduced by the models. Furthermore, variables describing the relationship between extreme climatic events and ecological disturbance regimes, that have significant structural influences on vegetation, are not directly included in these models.
The data are provided as 9-second (approximately 250m), ESRI binary float grid format in GDA94. This dataset series and its use is described in the AdaptNRM Guide “Helping biodiversity adapt to climate change: a community-level modelling approach”, available online at: www.adaptnrm.orgless
NRM National Project - Macroecological Modelling - Published 10 Aug 2015
Refugial potential index for Amphibians as a function of climate change based on Generalised Dissimilarity Modelling (GDM) of compositional turnover.
This metric represents a relative measure of the ... more potential of each grid cell to act as a climate change refugia for the local (100km radius) area, taking the representation of current ecological environments by the future state of the cell, and the area of similar ecological environments in the future into account.
This metric was developed along with others for use in an assessment of the efficacy of the protected area system for biodiversity under climate change at continental and global scales, presented at the IUCN World Parks Congress 2014. It is described in the AdaptNRM Guide “Helping Biodiversity Adapt: Supporting climate adaptation planning using a community-level modelling approach”, available online at: www.adaptnrm.org.
Data are provided in two forms:
1. Zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
2. ArcGIS layer package (*.lpk): These packages contain can be unpacked by ArcGIS as a raster with associated legend.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file BiodiversityModellingMethodsSummary.pdf for further information.
Layers in this 9s series use a consistent naming convention:
BIOLOGICAL GROUP _ FROM BASE_ TO SCENARIO_ ANALYSIS
e.g. A_90_CAN85_S or R_90_MIR85_L
where BIOLOGICAL GROUP is A: amphibians, M: mammals, R: reptiles and V: vascular plantsless
1173.3 Strat: WPC Global Prot Area Ass - Biodiversity Adaptation Analyses - Published 24 Jun 2015
Refugial potential index for Amphibians as a function of climate change based on Generalised Dissimilarity Modelling (GDM) of compositional turnover.
This metric represents a relative measure of the ... more potential of each grid cell to act as a climate change refugia for the local (100km radius) area, taking the representation of current ecological environments by the future state of the cell, and the area of similar ecological environments in the future into account.
This metric was developed along with others for use in an assessment of the efficacy of the protected area system for biodiversity under climate change at continental and global scales, presented at the IUCN World Parks Congress 2014. It is described in the AdaptNRM Guide “Helping Biodiversity Adapt: Supporting climate adaptation planning using a community-level modelling approach”, available online at: www.adaptnrm.org.
Data are provided in two forms:
1. Zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
2. ArcGIS layer package (*.lpk): These packages contain can be unpacked by ArcGIS as a raster with associated legend.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file BiodiversityModellingMethodsSummary.pdf for further information.
Layers in this 9s series use a consistent naming convention:
BIOLOGICAL GROUP _ FROM BASE_ TO SCENARIO_ ANALYSIS
e.g. A_90_CAN85_S or R_90_MIR85_L
where BIOLOGICAL GROUP is A: amphibians, M: mammals, R: reptiles and V: vascular plantsless
1173.3 Strat: WPC Global Prot Area Ass - Biodiversity Adaptation Analyses - Published 24 Jun 2015
Refugial potential index for Reptiles as a function of climate change based on Generalised Dissimilarity Modelling (GDM) of compositional turnover.
This metric represents a relative measure of the po... more tential of each grid cell to act as a climate change refugia for the local (100km radius) area, taking the representation of current ecological environments by the future state of the cell, and the area of similar ecological environments in the future into account.
This metric was developed along with others for use in an assessment of the efficacy of the protected area system for biodiversity under climate change at continental and global scales, presented at the IUCN World Parks Congress 2014. It is described in the AdaptNRM Guide “Helping Biodiversity Adapt: Supporting climate adaptation planning using a community-level modelling approach”, available online at: www.adaptnrm.org.
Data are provided in two forms:
1. Zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
2. ArcGIS layer package (*.lpk): These packages contain can be unpacked by ArcGIS as a raster with associated legend.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file BiodiversityModellingMethodsSummary.pdf for further information.
Layers in this 9s series use a consistent naming convention:
BIOLOGICAL GROUP _ FROM BASE_ TO SCENARIO_ ANALYSIS
e.g. A_90_CAN85_S or R_90_MIR85_L
where BIOLOGICAL GROUP is A: amphibians, M: mammals, R: reptiles and V: vascular plantsless
1173.3 Strat: WPC Global Prot Area Ass - Biodiversity Adaptation Analyses - Published 24 Jun 2015
Refugial potential index for Amphibians as a function of climate change based on Generalised Dissimilarity Modelling (GDM) of compositional turnover.
This metric represents a relative measure of the ... more potential of each grid cell to act as a climate change refugia for the local (100km radius) area, taking the representation of current ecological environments by the future state of the cell, and the area of similar ecological environments in the future into account.
This metric was developed along with others for use in an assessment of the efficacy of the protected area system for biodiversity under climate change at continental and global scales, presented at the IUCN World Parks Congress 2014. It is described in the AdaptNRM Guide “Helping Biodiversity Adapt: Supporting climate adaptation planning using a community-level modelling approach”, available online at: www.adaptnrm.org.
Data are provided in two forms:
1. Zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
2. ArcGIS layer package (*.lpk): These packages contain can be unpacked by ArcGIS as a raster with associated legend.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file BiodiversityModellingMethodsSummary.pdf for further information.
Layers in this 9s series use a consistent naming convention:
BIOLOGICAL GROUP _ FROM BASE_ TO SCENARIO_ ANALYSIS
e.g. A_90_CAN85_S or R_90_MIR85_L
where BIOLOGICAL GROUP is A: amphibians, M: mammals, R: reptiles and V: vascular plantsless
1173.3 Strat: WPC Global Prot Area Ass - Biodiversity Adaptation Analyses - Published 24 Jun 2015
Refugial potential index for Mammals as a function of climate change based on Generalised Dissimilarity Modelling (GDM) of compositional turnover.
This metric represents a relative measure of the pot... more ential of each grid cell to act as a climate change refugia for the local (100km radius) area, taking the representation of current ecological environments by the future state of the cell, and the area of similar ecological environments in the future into account.
This metric was developed along with others for use in an assessment of the efficacy of the protected area system for biodiversity under climate change at continental and global scales, presented at the IUCN World Parks Congress 2014. It is described in the AdaptNRM Guide “Helping Biodiversity Adapt: Supporting climate adaptation planning using a community-level modelling approach”, available online at: www.adaptnrm.org.
Data are provided in two forms:
1. Zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
2. ArcGIS layer package (*.lpk): These packages contain can be unpacked by ArcGIS as a raster with associated legend.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file BiodiversityModellingMethodsSummary.pdf for further information.
Layers in this 9s series use a consistent naming convention:
BIOLOGICAL GROUP _ FROM BASE_ TO SCENARIO_ ANALYSIS
e.g. A_90_CAN85_S or R_90_MIR85_L
where BIOLOGICAL GROUP is A: amphibians, M: mammals, R: reptiles and V: vascular plantsless
1173.3 Strat: WPC Global Prot Area Ass - Biodiversity Adaptation Analyses - Published 24 Jun 2015
Refugial potential index for Reptiles as a function of climate change based on Generalised Dissimilarity Modelling (GDM) of compositional turnover.
This metric represents a relative measure of the po... more tential of each grid cell to act as a climate change refugia for the local (100km radius) area, taking the representation of current ecological environments by the future state of the cell, and the area of similar ecological environments in the future into account.
This metric was developed along with others for use in an assessment of the efficacy of the protected area system for biodiversity under climate change at continental and global scales, presented at the IUCN World Parks Congress 2014. It is described in the AdaptNRM Guide “Helping Biodiversity Adapt: Supporting climate adaptation planning using a community-level modelling approach”, available online at: www.adaptnrm.org.
Data are provided in two forms:
1. Zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
2. ArcGIS layer package (*.lpk): These packages contain can be unpacked by ArcGIS as a raster with associated legend.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file BiodiversityModellingMethodsSummary.pdf for further information.
Layers in this 9s series use a consistent naming convention:
BIOLOGICAL GROUP _ FROM BASE_ TO SCENARIO_ ANALYSIS
e.g. A_90_CAN85_S or R_90_MIR85_L
where BIOLOGICAL GROUP is A: amphibians, M: mammals, R: reptiles and V: vascular plantsless
1173.3 Strat: WPC Global Prot Area Ass - Biodiversity Adaptation Analyses - Published 24 Jun 2015
Refugial potential index for Amphibians as a function of climate change based on Generalised Dissimilarity Modelling (GDM) of compositional turnover.
This metric represents a relative measure of the ... more potential of each grid cell to act as a climate change refugia for the local (100km radius) area, taking the representation of current ecological environments by the future state of the cell, and the area of similar ecological environments in the future into account.
This metric was developed along with others for use in an assessment of the efficacy of the protected area system for biodiversity under climate change at continental and global scales, presented at the IUCN World Parks Congress 2014. It is described in the AdaptNRM Guide “Helping Biodiversity Adapt: Supporting climate adaptation planning using a community-level modelling approach”, available online at: www.adaptnrm.org.
Data are provided in two forms:
1. Zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
2. ArcGIS layer package (*.lpk): These packages contain can be unpacked by ArcGIS as a raster with associated legend.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file BiodiversityModellingMethodsSummary.pdf for further information.
Layers in this 9s series use a consistent naming convention:
BIOLOGICAL GROUP _ FROM BASE_ TO SCENARIO_ ANALYSIS
e.g. A_90_CAN85_S or R_90_MIR85_L
where BIOLOGICAL GROUP is A: amphibians, M: mammals, R: reptiles and V: vascular plantsless
1173.3 Strat: WPC Global Prot Area Ass - Biodiversity Adaptation Analyses - Published 24 Jun 2015
Refugial potential index for Amphibians as a function of climate change based on Generalised Dissimilarity Modelling (GDM) of compositional turnover.
This metric represents a relative measure of the ... more potential of each grid cell to act as a climate change refugia for the local (100km radius) area, taking the representation of current ecological environments by the future state of the cell, and the area of similar ecological environments in the future into account.
This metric was developed along with others for use in an assessment of the efficacy of the protected area system for biodiversity under climate change at continental and global scales, presented at the IUCN World Parks Congress 2014. It is described in the AdaptNRM Guide “Helping Biodiversity Adapt: Supporting climate adaptation planning using a community-level modelling approach”, available online at: www.adaptnrm.org.
Data are provided in two forms:
1. Zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
2. ArcGIS layer package (*.lpk): These packages contain can be unpacked by ArcGIS as a raster with associated legend.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file BiodiversityModellingMethodsSummary.pdf for further information.
Layers in this 9s series use a consistent naming convention:
BIOLOGICAL GROUP _ FROM BASE_ TO SCENARIO_ ANALYSIS
e.g. A_90_CAN85_S or R_90_MIR85_L
where BIOLOGICAL GROUP is A: amphibians, M: mammals, R: reptiles and V: vascular plantsless
1173.3 Strat: WPC Global Prot Area Ass - Biodiversity Adaptation Analyses - Published 24 Jun 2015
Need for assisted dispersal for Vascular Plants as a function of change in long term (30 year average) climates between the present (1990 centred) and projected future (2050 centred) under the MIROC5 ... more model (RCP 8.5) based on Generalised Dissimilarity Modelling (GDM) of compositional turnover.
The distance to the nearest grid cell with ecological similarity of at least 0.5 is given.
This metric describes the nature of the projected 2050 centred future environmental conditions for each 9s grid square. Using a Generalised Dissimilarity Model of compositional turnover (the effects of changing environment on changing species), each future location is compared with the continent in the present. For each cell, the metric looks out to all other cells in the continent, and records the ecological similarity of the future state of the cell to the most similar cell in the present. A value of 1 indicates that the future environment is similar to a current location in the present, and perfect analogue can found somewhere in Australia. A value of 0 indicates that the most similar environment to be found in the present is ecologically so different that we would expect no species in common, i.e. there are no current analogues for this environment; it is novel. Intermediate values show how ecologically similar the most similar cell is. However, no weight is given to the proximity of the most similar cell. The environment may be similar, but the cells thousands of kilometres apart.
This metric was developed along with others for use in an assessment of the efficacy of the protected area system for biodiversity under climate change at continental and global scales, presented at the IUCN World Parks Congress 2014. It is described in the AdaptNRM Guide “Implications of Climate Change for Biodiversity: a community-level modelling approach”, available online at: www.adaptnrm.org.
Data are provided in two forms:
1. Zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
2. ArcGIS layer package (*.lpk): These packages contain can be unpacked by ArcGIS as a raster with associated legend.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file 9sMethodsSummary.pdf for further information.
Layers in this 9s series use a consistent naming convention:
BIOLOGICAL GROUP _ FROM BASE_ TO SCENARIO_ ANALYSIS
e.g. A_90_CAN85_S or R_90_MIR85_L
where BIOLOGICAL GROUP is A: amphibians, M: mammals, R: reptiles and V: vascular plants
less
1173.3 Strat: WPC Global Prot Area Ass - Biodiversity Adaptation Analyses - Published 23 Jun 2015
Need for assisted dispersal for Vascular Plants as a function of change in long term (30 year average) climates between the present (1990 centred) and projected future (2050 centred) under the CAN ESM... more 2 model (RCP 8.5) based on Generalised Dissimilarity Modelling (GDM) of compositional turnover.
The distance to the nearest grid cell with ecological similarity of at least 0.5 is given.
This metric describes the nature of the projected 2050 centred future environmental conditions for each 9s grid square. Using a Generalised Dissimilarity Model of compositional turnover (the effects of changing environment on changing species), each future location is compared with the continent in the present. For each cell, the metric looks out to all other cells in the continent, and records the ecological similarity of the future state of the cell to the most similar cell in the present. A value of 1 indicates that the future environment is similar to a current location in the present, and perfect analogue can found somewhere in Australia. A value of 0 indicates that the most similar environment to be found in the present is ecologically so different that we would expect no species in common, i.e. there are no current analogues for this environment; it is novel. Intermediate values show how ecologically similar the most similar cell is. However, no weight is given to the proximity of the most similar cell. The environment may be similar, but the cells thousands of kilometres apart.
This metric was developed along with others for use in an assessment of the efficacy of the protected area system for biodiversity under climate change at continental and global scales, presented at the IUCN World Parks Congress 2014. It is described in the AdaptNRM Guide “Implications of Climate Change for Biodiversity: a community-level modelling approach”, available online at: www.adaptnrm.org.
Data are provided in two forms:
1. Zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
2. ArcGIS layer package (*.lpk): These packages contain can be unpacked by ArcGIS as a raster with associated legend.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file 9sMethodsSummary.pdf for further information.
Layers in this 9s series use a consistent naming convention:
BIOLOGICAL GROUP _ FROM BASE_ TO SCENARIO_ ANALYSIS
e.g. A_90_CAN85_S or R_90_MIR85_L
where BIOLOGICAL GROUP is A: amphibians, M: mammals, R: reptiles and V: vascular plants
less
1173.3 Strat: WPC Global Prot Area Ass - Biodiversity Adaptation Analyses - Published 23 Jun 2015
Need for assisted dispersal for Reptiles as a function of change in long term (30 year average) climates between the present (1990 centred) and projected future (2050 centred) under the MIROC5 model (... more RCP 8.5) based on Generalised Dissimilarity Modelling (GDM) of compositional turnover.
The distance to the nearest grid cell with ecological similarity of at least 0.5 is given.
This metric describes the nature of the projected 2050 centred future environmental conditions for each 9s grid square. Using a Generalised Dissimilarity Model of compositional turnover (the effects of changing environment on changing species), each future location is compared with the continent in the present. For each cell, the metric looks out to all other cells in the continent, and records the ecological similarity of the future state of the cell to the most similar cell in the present. A value of 1 indicates that the future environment is similar to a current location in the present, and perfect analogue can found somewhere in Australia. A value of 0 indicates that the most similar environment to be found in the present is ecologically so different that we would expect no species in common, i.e. there are no current analogues for this environment; it is novel. Intermediate values show how ecologically similar the most similar cell is. However, no weight is given to the proximity of the most similar cell. The environment may be similar, but the cells thousands of kilometres apart.
This metric was developed along with others for use in an assessment of the efficacy of the protected area system for biodiversity under climate change at continental and global scales, presented at the IUCN World Parks Congress 2014. It is described in the AdaptNRM Guide “Implications of Climate Change for Biodiversity: a community-level modelling approach”, available online at: www.adaptnrm.org.
Data are provided in two forms:
1. Zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
2. ArcGIS layer package (*.lpk): These packages contain can be unpacked by ArcGIS as a raster with associated legend.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file 9sMethodsSummary.pdf for further information.
Layers in this 9s series use a consistent naming convention:
BIOLOGICAL GROUP _ FROM BASE_ TO SCENARIO_ ANALYSIS
e.g. A_90_CAN85_S or R_90_MIR85_L
where BIOLOGICAL GROUP is A: amphibians, M: mammals, R: reptiles and V: vascular plants
less
1173.3 Strat: WPC Global Prot Area Ass - Biodiversity Adaptation Analyses - Published 23 Jun 2015
Benefits of revegetation index for Mammals as a function of land clearing within the present long term (30 year average) climate (1990 centred) based on Generalised Dissimilarity Modelling (GDM) of c... more ompositional turnover.
This metric represents the marginal benefit from a unit increase of vegetation at the site, which is a direct function of the slope of the species area curve at the test state of the site. In practice, revegetation of the whole cell is likely to be impractical due to the availability of cleared land within the cell, and practical limitations such as land ownership and revegetation cost. The metric therefore excludes these factors from the analysis, allowing direct comparison of the relative benefit of a given area of revegetation between cells. The values of the index generated according to the above formula are generally low (since a significant area is required to support additional species) and the index is rescaled by multiplying by 1000 to bring it into an approximate 0-1 range.
This metric was developed along with others for use in an assessment of the efficacy of the protected area system for biodiversity under climate change at continental and global scales, presented at the IUCN World Parks Congress 2014. It is described in the AdaptNRM Guide “Helping Biodiversity Adapt: Supporting climate adaptation planning using a community-level modelling approach”, available online at: www.adaptnrm.org.
Data are provided in two forms:
1. Zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
2. ArcGIS layer package (*.lpk): These packages contain can be unpacked by ArcGIS as a raster with associated legend.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file BiodiversityModellingMethodsSummary.pdf for further information.
Layers in this 9s series use a consistent naming convention:
BIOLOGICAL GROUP _ FROM BASE_ TO SCENARIO_ ANALYSIS
e.g. A_90_CAN85_S or R_90_MIR85_L
where BIOLOGICAL GROUP is A: amphibians, M: mammals, R: reptiles and V: vascular plants
less
1173.3 Strat: WPC Global Prot Area Ass - Biodiversity Adaptation Analyses - Published 23 Jun 2015
Benefits of revegetation index for Mammals as a function of land clearing and climate change based on Generalised Dissimilarity Modelling (GDM) of compositional turnover.
This metric represents the m... more arginal benefit from a unit increase of vegetation at the site, which is a direct function of the slope of the species area curve at the test state of the site. In practice, revegetation of the whole cell is likely to be impractical due to the availability of cleared land within the cell, and practical limitations such as land ownership and revegetation cost. The metric therefore excludes these factors from the analysis, allowing direct comparison of the relative benefit of a given area of revegetation between cells. The values of the index generated according to the above formula are generally low (since a significant area is required to support additional species) and the index is rescaled by multiplying by 1000 to bring it into an approximate 0-1 range.
This metric was developed along with others for use in an assessment of the efficacy of the protected area system for biodiversity under climate change at continental and global scales, presented at the IUCN World Parks Congress 2014. It is described in the AdaptNRM Guide “Helping Biodiversity Adapt: Supporting climate adaptation planning using a community-level modelling approach”, available online at: www.adaptnrm.org.
Data are provided in two forms:
1. Zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (*.flt) with associated ESRI header files (*.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
2. ArcGIS layer package (*.lpk): These packages contain can be unpacked by ArcGIS as a raster with associated legend.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file BiodiversityModellingMethodsSummary.pdf for further information.
Layers in this 9s series use a consistent naming convention:
BIOLOGICAL GROUP _ FROM BASE_ TO SCENARIO_ ANALYSIS
e.g. A_90_CAN85_S or R_90_MIR85_L
where BIOLOGICAL GROUP is A: amphibians, M: mammals, R: reptiles and V: vascular plants
less
1173.3 Strat: WPC Global Prot Area Ass - Biodiversity Adaptation Analyses - Published 23 Jun 2015
