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The NESP Tropical Cyclone Projections Portal is a website with interactive features designed to provide information on the historical and projected climatology of tropical cyclone (TC) tracks in the s... moreouthern hemisphere, with a particular focus on the Australian region.
Tropical cyclone tracks are displayed from periods within baseline and future climates simulated by CMIP5 Global Climate Models using the RCP 8.5 emissions pathway, as well as those observed historically and published in the WMO version of the IBTrACS global best-track archive (v03r10). Various other products are derived from these data sets, including climatologies of and changes in:
- spatial density of number of TCs per decade;
- density of storms impacting on Australia's coastline;
- the simulated number and seasonal cycle of TCs;
- relationship of projected change in Australian-region TCs with changes in temperature and precipitation in the region.
NESP ESCC Extreme weather projections - Tropical Cyclone Projections Portal - Published 27 Jun 2019
Historic and future 20-year climatologies of CMIP5 data on native model grid for annual, seasonal and monthly seasons. Up to 40 models from the CMIP5 archive are available.
Historic: ... more
2015-2034, 2020-2039, 2025-2044
2030-2049, 2035-2054, 2040-2059
2045-2064, 2050-2069, 2055-2074
2060-2079, 2065-2084, 2070-2089
2075-2094, 2080- 2099
historical, rcp26, rcp45, rcp60, rcp85
Seasonal (DJF, MAM, JJA, SON)
6-month seasons (NDJFMA, MJJASO)
Surface Temperature, Rainfall, Wind Speed, Solar Radiation,
Maximum Surface Temperature, Minimum Surface Temperature,
Drought, Extreme Rainfall (1-in20 Year), Evapotransporation
CLSD PCCSAP Climate Futures V2 - CMIP 5 model archive - Published 14 Jun 2019
Processed global climate model outputs and derived analysis from ‘historical’ and RCP simulations from CMIP5 models. A set of up to 26 models were used for all PACCSAP reporting, but some other models... more are now processed as well as part of the NRM and ACCSP projects.
Datasets are complete time series as well averages for 1986-2005, 2020-2039, 2040-2059, 2060-2079 and 2080-2099.
Derived variables are:
• Climatologies for each period
• Changes between periods (absolute and %)
• Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) extremes indices (e.g. annual maximums)
• Average recurrence interval (ARI) calculations of 1-year, 2-year, 5-year, 10-year, 20-year, 50-year and 100-year events fro rainfall and temperature extremes
• Standardised precipitation index (SPI) of meteorological drought
• Area-average means and changes for each partner nation and each NRM cluster region for all fieldsless
CLSD PCCSAP 3.3.1 CMIP5 Model Evaluation - Climate model evaluation - Published 14 Jun 2019