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Indian Ocean Climate Initiative Stage 3 (IOCI3) - Downscaled Climate Projections for Western Australia

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Indian Ocean Climate Initiative Stage 3 (IOCI3) - Downscaled Climate Projections for Western Australia


IOCI3, a climate research collaboration between CSIRO, BoM and the Government of Western Australia produced statistically downscaled projections for daily rainfall and maximum and minimum temperature for south-west WA (29 sites) and north-west WA (9 Kimberley sites and 10 Pilbara sites). These fine-scale projections for mid-century and end-of-centu... more


Climate Change Processes


http://doi.org/10.4225/08/507BA49C04DA1


01 Jan 1959


31 Dec 2099


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climate modelling downscaled projections rainfall temperature SRES scenarios Western Australia climate change Indian Ocean Climate Initiative IOCI Indian Ocean


README.txt


These statistically downscaled rainfall simulations were produced using atmospheric predictors extracted from the historically based record using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis (NNR; 1959-2009) and five global circulation models (GCMs) for the SRES B1 (low), A1B (medium) and A2 (high) greenhouse gas emissions scenarios for baseline (1962-1999); mid-century (2047-2064) and end-of-century (2082-2099) time periods. Statistically downscaled temperature projections were produced from dynamically downscaled projections using the same GCMs and for the same periods but only under the SRES A2 (high) emission scenario. The NNR and GCM predictors were used to drive Non-homogeneous Hidden Markov Models (NHMMs) that were calibrated to networks of stations in south-west and north-west WA. The NHMM is a stochastic technique that can generate multiple realisations of rainfall and temperature. The application of these techniques was advanced under IOCI3 and applied to the tropics for the first time.


CSIRO Data Licence


Bureau of Meteorology (Australia), CSIRO (Australia)


Charles, Steve; Fu, Guobin (2012): Indian Ocean Climate Initiative Stage 3 (IOCI3) - Downscaled Climate Projections for Western Australia. v3. CSIRO. Data Collection. http://doi.org/10.4225/08/507BA49C04DA1


All Rights (including copyright) CSIRO 2012.


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Location Details

14°18′0″ S


34°27′0″ S


128°33′0″ E


113°40′0″ E


WGS84


More about this Collection

Steve Charles


Research Scientist


0 m


0 m



Textual or tabular




eng


UTF8


Climatology/Meteorology/Atmosphere


About this Project

CLSD IOCI3 Theme 3 - C2006/4983


Project 3.1 of IOC3 sought to produce fine-scale projections of future rainfall and temperature for south-west Western Australia using statistical downscaling, for use in climate change impact and vulnerability assessments. Project 2.3 of IOCI3 developed the application of these statistical downscaling methods for the tropics, to provide fine-scale... more


Bryson Bates


Indian Ocean Climate Initiative Stage 3 (IOCI3)


The Indian Ocean Climate Initiative Stage 3 (IOCI3), a climate research collaboration between CSIRO, BoM and the Government of Western Australia, has produced climate projections for south-west and north-west WA. These include fine-scale (statistically downscaled) projections for rainfall and temperature (IOCI3 Projects 2.3 and 3.1); projections of... more


Modelling


Steve Charles


Guobin Fu


Steve Charles